Much like how Democratic voters cannot grasp how much Republican politicians hate the Democratic Party, engaged voters cannot grasp just how disengaged the fabled independent/swing voter is from politics and governance.
Or the pundits obsessed with the imaginary huge number of 'Obama-to-Trump' voters in 2016. That was just two different populations of disengaged voters!
2020 was the largest turnout of voting eligible population , and it was still only 62%
That leaves 38% or 𝙤𝙫𝙚𝙧 𝙖 𝙩𝙝𝙞𝙧𝙙 𝙤𝙛 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙥𝙤𝙨𝙨𝙞𝙗𝙡𝙚 𝙫𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙨 who didn't vote. Yet here we have the pollsters and pundits treating them as a distinct voting bloc (or NON-voting in this case!) instead of different factions voting or not voting depending on the year/candidate/what they had for lunch/whatever.
In other words they have zero predictive value, other than being the rough percentage of non-voters, 𝘳𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘳𝘥𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘯𝘰𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘺 𝘢𝘧𝘧𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯
That is absurd on it's face, yet we're being told to believe this.
I have seen this study dissected multiple times without anyone ever mentioning that If these people didn't vote 𝘪𝘯 𝘈𝘕𝘠 𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘣𝘦𝘵𝘸𝘦𝘦𝘯 2018 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘯𝘰𝘸, just why does anyone expect them to vote in abnormally large numbers THIS year??? If past performance, so to speak, is indiciative of future, they can, as a group, be largely ignored.
Much like how Democratic voters cannot grasp how much Republican politicians hate the Democratic Party, engaged voters cannot grasp just how disengaged the fabled independent/swing voter is from politics and governance.
Or the pundits obsessed with the imaginary huge number of 'Obama-to-Trump' voters in 2016. That was just two different populations of disengaged voters!
2020 was the largest turnout of voting eligible population , and it was still only 62%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voter_turnout_in_United_States_presidential_elections#Turnout_statistics
That leaves 38% or 𝙤𝙫𝙚𝙧 𝙖 𝙩𝙝𝙞𝙧𝙙 𝙤𝙛 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙥𝙤𝙨𝙨𝙞𝙗𝙡𝙚 𝙫𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙨 who didn't vote. Yet here we have the pollsters and pundits treating them as a distinct voting bloc (or NON-voting in this case!) instead of different factions voting or not voting depending on the year/candidate/what they had for lunch/whatever.
In other words they have zero predictive value, other than being the rough percentage of non-voters, 𝘳𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘳𝘥𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘯𝘰𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘺 𝘢𝘧𝘧𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯
That is absurd on it's face, yet we're being told to believe this.
I have seen this study dissected multiple times without anyone ever mentioning that If these people didn't vote 𝘪𝘯 𝘈𝘕𝘠 𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘣𝘦𝘵𝘸𝘦𝘦𝘯 2018 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘯𝘰𝘸, just why does anyone expect them to vote in abnormally large numbers THIS year??? If past performance, so to speak, is indiciative of future, they can, as a group, be largely ignored.
See also Paul Campos' "Ariana Grande theory of politics" https://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2020/04/the-ariana-grande-theory-of-politics
That's terrific, and somehow cheering
And the comments are Oh. So. LGM. Had me giggling.
Thanks for the update, that does strengthen your point.